Infopaket

Forecasting the socio-economic development of the region

ВБ 2.2

Вибіркова дисципліна для ОП

First

2021/2022

6 Semester

4

Learning outcomes To know: theoretical principles of forecasting the socio-economic development of regions; basic methods of demographic forecasting the development of the region Be able to: independently navigate in legislative and program system documents on the analysis, forecasting and planning of the socio-economic development of the region; analyze and forecast socio-economic processes at the regional level autonomy and responsibility: demonstrate an understanding of personal responsibility for professional and/or managerial decisions or provided proposals/recommendations that may affect the process of socio-economic development of the region; Justification of the problems of social economic processes of the region's development

Full-time form

Prerequisites and additional requirements 1. To know: the theoretical foundations of the functioning of the regional socio-economic system, the content of its main components; system of laws and principles of socio-economic development; peculiarities of the development of certain industries, spheres and types of activity, their aspects; the main problems of socio-economic development of the regions of Ukraine and directions for their solution; basic principles and functions of forecasting; existing approaches to the analysis of socio-economic development of the region. 2. To be able to use the acquired knowledge in the analysis of socio-economic processes and assessment of the development of regions; predict possible options for the development of socio-economic processes, taking into account the existing trends and the outlined goal;

Content of the educational program CONTENT MODULE 1 "Theoretical principles of forecasting the socio-economic development of the region" Topic 1. Theoretical and regulatory principles socio-economic forecasting development of regions Topic 2. Concepts of forecasting, the main ones methods and stages of implementation Topic 3. Sources of socio-economic information for forecasting Topic 4. Forecasts in the management system solutions CONTENT MODULE 2 "Forecasting socio-economic processes at the regional level" Topic 5. Basic methods of demographics forecasting the development of regions Topic 6. Cohort-component method demographic forecasting Topic 7. Economic forecasting based on demand (consideration on a specific model) Topic 8. Approaches to budget forecasting Topic 9. Benchmarking as a tool perspective development of regions

Recommended and necessary literature 1. Galushchak M. P., Galushchak O. Ya., Kuzhda T. I. Forecasting of socio-economic processes: a study guide for economic majors. Ternopil: FOP Palyanytsia, 2021. 160 p. 2. Bobrovska O.Yu., Savostenko T.O. State and regional administration: training manual. Dnipro: LRIDU NADU, 2018. 160 p. 3. Izha M. M., Prykhodchenko L. L., Sakhanenko S. E. Regional management: education. guide.; in general ed. L. L. Prykhodchenko. Odesa: ORIDU NADU, 2020. 652 p. 4. Vakulenko V., Grynchuk N., Borshch G., Vasylieva N. Local economic development: a teacher's guide. Kyiv: Prekt "PROMIS", 2018. 103 p. 5. Kulyavets V.O. Forecasting of socio-economic processes: teaching manual. Kyiv: Condor, 2016. 194 p.

Planned educational activities and teaching methods Lectures, practical classes, seminars classes, independent work.

Methods and criteria of assessment – semester evaluation (MAX – 80 points / MIN – 48 points): 1. Performance of practical (seminar) classes - max. 5 points / min. 3 points 2. Independent work is a breeze. 45 points / min. 27 points. 3. Individual analytical work - mach. 30 points / min. 18 points. - final evaluation Final control is carried out in the form of a written test, which is evaluated at a maximum of 20 points and is conducted at one of the last practical classes in the discipline.

Ukrainian