Infopaket

Regional Forecasting

ОК 12

Обов’язкова дисципліна для ОП

Second

2023/2024

2 Semester

6

To know: The essence, significance, objects, types, methods, and basic conceptual and terminological apparatus of socio-geographical forecasting; the history of the establishment and development of socio-geographical prognostics; principles and methodological approaches to socio-geographical forecasting; the essence, classification, factors, and patterns of socio-spatial process development; stages and organizational aspects of developing socio-geographical forecasts for regional development; methods for assessing regional development factors, forecasting regional development resources, demospatial processes, and regional economic development. To be able to: Conduct statistical analysis of dynamic series; develop, analyze, and utilize various models for regional development forecasting; develop forecasts for the socio-spatial processes.

Full-time form

1. The successful completion of the course "Contemporary Debates in Human Geography." 2. To be able to analyze cause-and-effect relationships of demographic, social, and economic development in regions, and group regions based on similarities in socio-economic development indicators. 3. To be able to apply basic mathematical methods in socio-geographical research.

This course is dedicated to the study of theoretical-methodological and methodological foundations of socio-geographical forecasting; the conceptual and terminological apparatus of socio-geographical forecasting; classification and approaches to the analysis of socio-spatial processes; specific methods for evaluating the factors of regional development, forecasting regional resources, forecasting demographic-spatial processes, and forecasting the development of the region's economy. This discipline aims to provide a comprehensive understanding of the scientific prediction of social and economic development of territories, ensuring the acquisition of skills and abilities in both sectoral and comprehensive forecasting of regional development.

1. Мезенцев К.В. Регіональне прогнозування соціально-економічного розвитку: Навч. посіб. Київ: ВПЦ „Київський ун-тет”, 2004. 82 с. 2. Мезенцев К.В. Суспільно-географічне прогнозування регіонального розвитку. Київ: ВПЦ „Київський ун-тет”, 2005. 253 с. 3. Єріна А.М. Статистичне моделювання та прогнозування: Навч. посіб. Київ: КНЕУ, 2001. 170 с. 4. Нємець К.А., Нємець Л.М. Просторовий аналіз у суспільній географії: нові підходи, методи, моделі. Харків, ХНУ імені В.Н. Каразіна, 213. 228 с.

Lectures, practical sessions, analytical work, independent work

The course is divided into two content sections. Classes are conducted in the form of lectures and practical sessions. The course concludes with a written exam. Semester assessment: The total number of points a student receives throughout the semester is the sum of the points earned from assessing their performance in practical sessions, oral questioning, and completion of thematic control tasks. Assessment organization: Work in practical sessions is assessed based on the completion of tasks according to the practical session schedule. Thematic control tasks are carried out in written format. Learning results, assuming the material is mastered at an appropriate level, are assessed as follows: 1. Checking and defending practical work – from 24 to 35 points. 2. Oral questioning – from 2 to 5 points. 3. Thematic control tasks – from 10 to 20 points.

Ukrainian