Forecasting the socio-economic development of the region

Course: Governance in Public Sphere

Structural unit: Educational and Scientific Institute of Public Administration and Civil Service

Title
Forecasting the socio-economic development of the region
Code
ВБ 2.2
Module type
Вибіркова дисципліна для ОП
Educational cycle
First
Year of study when the component is delivered
2023/2024
Semester/trimester when the component is delivered
6 Semester
Number of ECTS credits allocated
4
Learning outcomes
Learning outcomes To know: theoretical principles of forecasting the socio-economic development of regions; basic methods of demographic forecasting the development of the region Be able to: independently navigate in legislative and program system documents on the analysis, forecasting and planning of the socio-economic development of the region; analyze and forecast socio-economic processes at the regional level autonomy and responsibility: demonstrate an understanding of personal responsibility for professional and/or managerial decisions or provided proposals/recommendations that may affect the process of socio-economic development of the region; Justification of the problems of social economic processes of the region's development
Form of study
External form
Prerequisites and co-requisites
Prerequisites and additional requirements 1. To know: the theoretical foundations of the functioning of the regional socio-economic system, the content of its main components; system of laws and principles of socio-economic development; peculiarities of the development of certain industries, spheres and types of activity, their aspects; the main problems of socio-economic development of the regions of Ukraine and directions for their solution; basic principles and functions of forecasting; existing approaches to the analysis of socio-economic development of the region. 2. To be able to use the acquired knowledge in the analysis of socio-economic processes and assessment of the development of regions; predict possible options for the development of socio-economic processes, taking into account the existing trends and the outlined goal;
Course content
Content of the educational program CONTENT MODULE 1 "Theoretical principles of forecasting the socio-economic development of the region" Topic 1. Theoretical and regulatory principles socio-economic forecasting development of regions Topic 2. Concepts of forecasting, the main ones methods and stages of implementation Topic 3. Sources of socio-economic information for forecasting Topic 4. Forecasts in the management system solutions CONTENT MODULE 2 "Forecasting socio-economic processes at the regional level" Topic 5. Basic methods of demographics forecasting the development of regions Topic 6. Cohort-component method demographic forecasting Topic 7. Economic forecasting based on demand (consideration on a specific model) Topic 8. Approaches to budget forecasting Topic 9. Benchmarking as a tool perspective development of regions
Recommended or required reading and other learning resources/tools
Recommended and necessary literature 1. Galushchak M. P., Galushchak O. Ya., Kuzhda T. I. Forecasting of socio-economic processes: a study guide for economic majors. Ternopil: FOP Palyanytsia, 2021. 160 p. 2. Bobrovska O.Yu., Savostenko T.O. State and regional administration: training manual. Dnipro: LRIDU NADU, 2018. 160 p. 3. Izha M. M., Prykhodchenko L. L., Sakhanenko S. E. Regional management: education. guide.; in general ed. L. L. Prykhodchenko. Odesa: ORIDU NADU, 2020. 652 p. 4. Vakulenko V., Grynchuk N., Borshch G., Vasylieva N. Local economic development: a teacher's guide. Kyiv: Prekt "PROMIS", 2018. 103 p. 5. Kulyavets V.O. Forecasting of socio-economic processes: teaching manual. Kyiv: Condor, 2016. 194 p.
Planned learning activities and teaching methods
Planned educational activities and teaching methods Lectures, practical classes, seminars classes, independent work.
Assessment methods and criteria
Methods and criteria of assessment – semester evaluation (MAX – 80 points / MIN – 48 points): 1. Performance of practical (seminar) classes - max. 5 points / min. 3 points 2. Independent work is a breeze. 45 points / min. 27 points. 3. Individual analytical work - mach. 30 points / min. 18 points. - final evaluation Final control is carried out in the form of a written test, which is evaluated at a maximum of 20 points and is conducted at one of the last practical classes in the discipline.
Language of instruction
Ukrainian

Lecturers

This discipline is taught by the following teachers

Olha Volodymyrivna Berdanova
Department of Regional Policy
Educational and Scientific Institute of Public Administration and Civil Service

Departments

The following departments are involved in teaching the above discipline

Department of Regional Policy
Educational and Scientific Institute of Public Administration and Civil Service